The Seven Routes of the Democratic Primary

As the 2020 primary takes off, there are seven possible scenarios that will play out. Almost all of these scenarios rely on what happens in the first few primary states.Ultimately, who emerges from the 2020 primaries as the Democratic nominee will depend on how they do in the first four states, and in particular the first two. These are those scenarios. The odds of one of these scenarios NOT occurring is extremely low:

Scenario 1: Biden wins Iowa and New Hampshire. From there he’ll win Nevada and South Carolina-two states that have been better for him in…